The 2025/26 Premier League season hasn’t kicked off yet, but the Opta Supercomputer has already run over 10,000 simulations to forecast the final standings.
Based on team strength, form, and fixture difficulty, the model offers a data-driven glimpse into what could be a thrilling campaign. ..Continue Reading
Liverpool are predicted to finish first in 28.5 percent of simulations — the highest among all clubs. Arne Slot’s side, fresh off a dominant 2024/25 season, are expected to continue their momentum.
Arsenal follow closely with a 24.3 percent chance of winning the league, while Manchester City sit third with 18.8 percent.
These three clubs are clearly the frontrunners, with no other team crossing the 10 percent mark for first-place probability.
The top five now guarantees Champions League football, and several clubs are in contention:
– Chelsea: 8.4 percent chance of finishing 1st, but strong probabilities across 2nd–6th positions suggest a solid top-five outlook. – Aston Villa: 5.1 percent chance of winning the league, with consistent probabilities from 4th to 10th. – Newcastle United: Though only a 2.9 percent chance of finishing first, they show strong mid-table consistency, with notable chances from 5th to 10th.
Crystal Palace also appear to be punching above their weight, with competitive probabilities across the top half — a sign of their growing strength.
While the full table wasn’t visible, the lower probabilities for clubs like Sunderland, Southampton, and Leeds United suggest they’re among the most likely to finish in the bottom three.
Their chances of survival will hinge on early momentum and smart January reinforcements.
Opta’s Supercomputer uses betting market odds, historical performance, and its proprietary Power Rankings to simulate every match thousands of times.
The result is a probabilistic table that reflects likely outcomes — not guarantees.
The battle for Champions League qualification is set to be decided on the final day, with Manchester City, Chelsea, Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest, and Newcastle United all still in contention.
Liverpool and Arsenal have already secured their places in next season’s competition, but the remaining three spots are still up for grabs. ..Continue Reading
Manchester City currently sits in third place, while Newcastle, Chelsea, and Aston Villa are level on points just behind them.
Nottingham Forest trails slightly, sitting one point below in seventh.
Opta’s supercomputer has analyzed the situation, running thousands of simulations to predict which teams will finish in the top five alongside Liverpool and Arsenal.
According to the projections, Manchester City has the highest probability of securing a Champions League spot, followed by Newcastle and Chelsea.
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest are expected to miss out.
The supercomputer has given City a strong chance of finishing in the top five, while Newcastle and Chelsea also have favorable odds. Villa’s chances are lower, and Forest faces an uphill battle to qualify.
Based on these predictions, the current standings are likely to remain unchanged by the end of matchday 38.
Meanwhile, Tottenham has already booked their place in next season’s Champions League after their Europa League final victory over Manchester United.
